The Self in Self-Driving Cars
The Rand Corporation
had a post referenced in the science news aggregator RealClearScience about self-driving
cars which is a subject that greatly interest me. Rand questioned what is the current state of
the whole situation, and I have to agree with them – as far as they go. The major point of the Rand article was that
even if self-driving cars where tested for way more miles than they have
currently run, it still would not be enough to determine their safety on the
road compared with human driven cars.
One major
subject not being mentioned about self-driving transportation is that it has
already existed for hundreds of years.
It was called the horse. All
kinds of stories exist of drunks or just overly drowsy riders going out and
getting in a carriage or “back in the saddle” and being safely transported
home. And why? Because the horse knew the way home and was
neither drunk or asleep.
Also – and this
is the key to the self-driving car discussion – the horse did not use the
riders form of intelligence to get home safely.
It used its own (horse sense?) – so too should self-driving cars. And while we are on the subject of going from
horse to automobile form of transportation, infrastructure had to change when
we went from one form to the other. This
has been true all through history: gas
lighting to electricity, sailing ships to steam, letter writing communication
to telegraph to telephone to radio and TV, and let’s not forget the Internet. So too does this need to happen when going to
self-driving cars. I would think a group
like the Rand Corporation should lead the way instead of describing what is
wrong.
Self-driving
cars should not try to observe the road the same way a human does. Trying to scan road markings, the general
direction of the blacktop, gutters, curbs, or even road signs meant for humans
is a failure waiting to happen, as the Rand posting so aptly describes.
Electrical
broadcasting transponders describing the local road would be the best, but that
requires power, so a passive transponder with a description of the immediate
roadway which the self-driving car would scan to read would probably work
better. Communicate with the car’s
programming (AI?) in a way it could more effectively use.
Self-driving
cars will have to continue to scan the road ahead as they do now for unexpected
or unforeseen obstructions, pedestrians, and no telling what else, but
comparing what it scans with what is being told should be there would be better
than what it is trying to do now.
Have
self-driving cars communicate with each other would help a lot. They could send current velocity, trajectory,
and other info so the car’s program knows what is going on better than trying
to scan another moving vehicle. Importantly,
this should include communicated information from non-self-driving cars, also.
Another significant
development for self-driving cars would be communication between traffic
devices, such as red lights at intersections.
Don’t scan the traffic signal to determine its color. Just have the red light communicate directly
with the self-driving car. If this was
developed the red light could communicate with self-driving cars at greater
distances so that they need not stop at the intersection because the red light
could send a message that if the self-driving car would slow or speed up a
5-miles an hour, by the time they got to the intersection, they could pass
through without stopping.
Of course,
that would not happen at a heavily congested intersection but a traffic signal
communicating with all approaching vehicles would change everything, and
hopefully reduce a lot of congestion.
Once again, new infrastructure may include new – and as yet unthought-of
– traffic devices.
The eight
hundred pound gorilla in this new technology is self-driving trucks. The development of the interstate highway
system changed how we transport goods and supply ourselves, and to not take
this into consideration when discussing self-driving vehicles leaves it grievously
wanting. I could really see this if
self-driving trucks were restricted to the interstate highway system with large
parking places at on and off raps. Human
drivers would take them to their destination on our local roads.
A test track will all these infrastructure
changes mentioned above would go a long way in proving self-driving vehicles
are the future of transportation.
Development of self-driving vehicles trying to copy human perception of
the road has no future – at least not until artificial intelligence catches up with
that of humans. And that’s a subject for
a whole different posting.
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